Today's Building Permits
Permits ticked up to 1.485M annualized — a hint of life in single-family construction even with mortgages still at 6.78%. Watch this number for the first signal a housing recovery is real, before starts and sales follow.
Historical trend
Monthly seasonally-adjusted annual rate.
Source: FRED · PERMIT
The long view: since 1972
Five decades of permits — every recession leaves a clear scar.
How today stacks up
Tools for planning home decisions.
About Building Permits
Building permits authorize the construction of new privately-owned housing units in the United States. The Census Bureau collects permit data from about 20,000 local jurisdictions monthly and publishes the seasonally-adjusted annual rate (SAAR) — meaning today's 1.485 million reading means the current monthly pace, if it held for a full year, would produce 1.485 million new authorized housing units. Permits are a leading housing indicator: they precede actual housing starts by 30–90 days and finished homes by 6–12 months, so a slowdown in permits today shows up as a construction lull next year.
Why this matters beyond housing
Building permits are one of the ten components in the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index because they capture early decisions made by builders, banks, and developers about future demand. A persistent decline in permits — like we saw in late 2022 through mid-2023 — typically signals that rate-sensitive sectors are slowing first, before the broader economy. Recovery in permits historically precedes turns in housing starts, new home sales, and eventually GDP.
Reading today's number
Permits running at 1.485M annualized is below the pre-pandemic norm (2019: ~1.33M) but recovered from the 2022–23 trough. The post-pandemic peak hit 1.88M in December 2021 when mortgage rates were 3% and homebuilders were sprinting to meet pent-up demand. Today's level reflects the cooling effect of 6%+ mortgage rates: builders are being more cautious about pulling permits than they were three years ago, but not retreating to recession-style lows.
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Frequently asked
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Methodology
Source
Pulled from FRED · PERMIT and cached on the EvvyTools server.
Update schedule
Refreshed automatically by our cron whenever the upstream source publishes a new value. Historical values are not revised after publication.
How we compute
Display value is the raw published number, unrounded. Comparison stats use the closest available reference date. We never edit the underlying data.